GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 4/1/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kalju Nomme · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Kalju Nomme are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Trans Narva are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalju Nomme hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.9% in the Meistriliiga, while Kalju Nomme holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kalju Nomme

Probability

88.9%

Model confidence

88.9%

Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kalju NommeWDDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Trans NarvaLLLDW

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Kalju NommeTrans Narva
60.6Attack25.8
74.2Defence24.2
62.1Form24.2
64.7Power27.5
3.29xG0.36
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