Kalju Nommevs
Nõmme United
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalju Nomme 1-2 Nõmme United
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.3% | 77.1% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.2% | 13.6% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 5.46 | 16.5% | 9.3% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
77.1%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80