Kalju Nommevs
Laagri
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalju Nomme 0-1 Laagri
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.0% | 62.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.4% | 20.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.11 | 17.5% | 16.1% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20