Kalju Nommevs
Flora Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalju Nomme 2-1 Flora Tallinn
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.8% | 46.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 24.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.1% | 29.7% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00