Kalju Nommevs
FC Levadia Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 8/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalju Nomme 2-3 FC Levadia Tallinn
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.24 | 17.2% | 26.7% | 9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.8% | 25.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.0% | 48.0% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60