Kaliszvs
Noteć Czarnków
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalisz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kalisz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Noteć Czarnków are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalisz hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Kalisz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kalisz
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
9.4%
Kalisz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60