Kaliszvs
Jastrzębie
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 8/4/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalisz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kalisz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Jastrzębie are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalisz hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the II Liga - East, while Kalisz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kalisz
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Kalisz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80