KaliszvsJastrzębie

Kalisz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jastrzębie are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalisz hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Cup, while Kalisz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.