Kaliszvs
Elana Toruń
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalisz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalisz 5-1 Elana Toruń
Original prediction
Kalisz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.2% | 42.9% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.1% | 27.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 17.8% | 29.7% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Kalisz
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Kalisz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KaliszDLWLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Elana ToruńLLWDW
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KaliszElana Toruń
50.0Attack43.1
50.0Defence58.8
50.0Form46.1
50.0Power50.6
1.37xG1.22