GGOALVIO

Greece · Cup · 8/19/2026, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panetolikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kalamata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Panetolikos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Panetolikos hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Cup, while Panetolikos holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panetolikos

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

13.5%

Panetolikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KalamataWLLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PanetolikosLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KalamataPanetolikos
33.3Attack52.4
66.7Defence61.9
33.3Form57.1
45.3Power59.6
1.24xG1.44
View match centre →