Kalamatavs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalamata 0-1 Panathinaikos
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.20 | 10.1% | 20.7% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.32 | 17.5% | 22.7% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 72.3% | 56.6% | -15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40