Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
KajHa are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while VPS II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS II hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Suomen Cup, while VPS II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS II
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
7.2%
VPS II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.50/2.25
GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60