Kaizer Chiefsvs
Stellenbosch
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 10/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaizer Chiefs · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Stellenbosch, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Stellenbosch
Original prediction
Kaizer Chiefs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.3% | 49.2% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.6% | 28.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.2% | 22.5% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Kaizer Chiefs 1–0 Stellenbosch
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kaizer Chiefs
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Kaizer Chiefs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60