Kaizer Chiefsvs
Siwelele
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaizer Chiefs · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Siwelele, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaizer Chiefs 3-2 Siwelele
Original prediction
Kaizer Chiefs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.0% | 55.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 26.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 5.98 | 15.3% | 18.7% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Kaizer Chiefs 1–0 Siwelele
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Kaizer Chiefs
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Kaizer Chiefs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60