Kaizer Chiefsvs
Red Arrows
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaizer Chiefs · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Red Arrows
Original prediction
Kaizer Chiefs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.6% | 39.8% | -31.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 19.9% | 27.1% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 10.53 | 8.5% | 33.1% | 24.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Kaizer Chiefs
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Kaizer Chiefs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20