GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 9/2/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kaizer Chiefs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mamelodi Sundowns are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the 8 Cup, while Mamelodi Sundowns holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mamelodi Sundowns

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kaizer ChiefsWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mamelodi SundownsWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.37xG1.63
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