Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kaisar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ulytau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20