Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kaisar 0-0 Okzhetpes, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaisar 2-3 Okzhetpes
Original prediction
Okzhetpes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.1% | 27.3% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 28.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.6% | 44.2% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Projected Score
Kaisar 0–0 Okzhetpes
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KaisarLLLWD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
OkzhetpesWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KaisarOkzhetpes
27.3Attack48.5
59.1Defence56.1
30.3Form54.5
41.7Power54.6
0.74xG1.13