Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kaisar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Aksu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaisar hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00