Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kaisar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaisar hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80