Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaisar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kaisar are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alashkert are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaisar hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kaisar holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kaisar
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
13.6%
Kaisar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80