Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aktobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kaisar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aktobe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aktobe hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.3% in the Premier League, while Aktobe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aktobe
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
21.3%
Aktobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00