Kairat Almatyvs
Zhetysu
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Kairat Almaty 2-0 Zhetysu, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kairat Almaty 1-0 Zhetysu
Original prediction
Kairat Almaty
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.1% | 74.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.82 | 15.6% | 15.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 9.70 | 9.3% | 9.6% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Kairat Almaty 2–0 Zhetysu
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Kairat Almaty
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
74.6%
Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00