Kairat Almatyvs
Zhenys
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kairat Almaty 1-0 Zhenys, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kairat Almaty 3-0 Zhenys
Original prediction
Kairat Almaty
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.4% | 62.9% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.3% | 23.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 8.82 | 10.3% | 14.1% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Projected Score
Kairat Almaty 1–0 Zhenys
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Kairat Almaty
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kairat AlmatyWWLLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
ZhenysLWWWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kairat AlmatyZhenys
68.1Attack31.9
78.3Defence63.8
78.3Form42.0
75.1Power48.1
1.72xG0.41