GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Kairat Almaty are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kairat Almaty

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

14.9%

Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kairat AlmatyWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay SemeyDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kairat AlmatyYelimay Semey
66.7Attack48.3
76.2Defence60.0
76.2Form51.7
73.4Power55.2
1.81xG0.63
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