GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Kairat Almaty are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Kaspiy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.1% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kairat Almaty

Probability

74.1%

Model confidence

74.1%

Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kairat AlmatyWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
KaspiyLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kairat AlmatyKaspiy
66.7Attack34.9
76.2Defence54.0
76.2Form34.9
73.4Power43.9
2.15xG0.44
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