Kairat Almatyvs
Irtysh
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kairat Almaty 2-0 Irtysh, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kairat Almaty 5-0 Irtysh
Original prediction
Kairat Almaty
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.9% | 76.1% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.84 | 18.8% | 16.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 8.08 | 11.3% | 7.1% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Projected Score
Kairat Almaty 2–0 Irtysh
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Kairat Almaty
Probability
76.1%
Model confidence
76.1%
Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kairat AlmatyDWLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IrtyshLLWWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kairat AlmatyIrtysh
64.2Attack32.1
75.3Defence54.3
74.1Form32.1
71.2Power42.5
2.06xG0.41