GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Kairat Almaty are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC Astana are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kairat Almaty

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

14.9%

Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kairat AlmatyLDWWW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
FC AstanaWDWDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kairat AlmatyFC Astana
65.0Attack55.0
76.7Defence65.0
75.0Form63.3
72.5Power61.9
1.50xG0.73
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