GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 6/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Kairat Almaty are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atyrau are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.8% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kairat Almaty

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

23.8%

Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kairat AlmatyLDWDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AtyrauDDDDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Kairat AlmatyAtyrau
66.7Attack25.0
76.2Defence68.3
76.2Form33.3
73.4Power44.8
1.48xG0.32
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