Kairat Almatyvs
Anderlecht
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kairat Almaty are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Anderlecht are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00