GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kairat Almaty are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Anderlecht are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

12.8%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kairat AlmatyLLWWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AnderlechtWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kairat AlmatyAnderlecht
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form83.3
50.0Power75.3
1.23xG1.60
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