Kahraba Ismailiavs
Mega Sport
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kahraba Ismailia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kahraba Ismailia 1-0 Mega Sport, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kahraba Ismailia 2-0 Mega Sport
Original prediction
Kahraba Ismailia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.3% | 64.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.9% | 22.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 8.47 | 10.8% | 13.2% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Projected Score
Kahraba Ismailia 1–0 Mega Sport
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Kahraba Ismailia
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Kahraba Ismailia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80