GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/15/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Kahibah are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KahibahWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieLLWWW

GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KahibahLake Macquarie
79.7Attack100.0
52.2Defence55.6
59.4Form75.9
62.0Power73.6
2.29xG2.56
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