Kagoshima Unitedvs
Kochi United
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kagoshima United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Kagoshima United 3-0 Kochi United, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kagoshima United 3-1 Kochi United
Original prediction
Kagoshima United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.3% | 85.2% | 21.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.8% | 10.0% | -12.8 pts |
| Away | 6.45 | 13.9% | 4.8% | -9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.9 pts
Projected Score
Kagoshima United 3–0 Kochi United
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Kagoshima United
Probability
85.2%
Model confidence
85.2%
Kagoshima United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40