GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 3/11/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kagoshima United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kagoshima United are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Imabari are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Kagoshima United hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the J3 League, while Kagoshima United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kagoshima United

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Kagoshima United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kagoshima UnitedW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
ImabariW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Kagoshima UnitedImabari
50.9Attack47.4
64.0Defence63.2
54.4Form51.8
57.5Power55.4
1.21xG0.93
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