Kagoshima Unitedvs
FC Ryukyu
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kagoshima United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kagoshima United 2-1 FC Ryukyu
Original prediction
Kagoshima United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.1% | 51.9% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 25.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.66 | 16.0% | 22.8% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Kagoshima United
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Kagoshima United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20