Kagoshima Unitedvs
Ehime FC
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kagoshima United 4-2 Ehime FC
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 44.6% | 36.2% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.2% | 23.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.2% | 39.9% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00