Kagera SugarvsSimba

Kagera Sugar are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Simba are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Simba hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.9% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while Simba holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.