Kafr Qasimvs
Hapoel Kfar Saba
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kafr Qasim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kafr Qasim 4-2 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Original prediction
Kafr Qasim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.5% | 45.9% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.9% | 25.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.6% | 28.4% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Kafr Qasim
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Kafr Qasim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40