Kafr Qasimvs
Bnei Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kafr Qasim 0-1 Bnei Yehuda
Original prediction
Bnei Yehuda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.88 | 15.4% | 22.7% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.8% | 23.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.8% | 53.4% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Yehuda
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Bnei Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00