Kafr Qasimvs
Beitar Petah Tikva
COMPLETEDIsrael · State Cup · 10/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kafr Qasim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kafr Qasim 5-2 Beitar Petah Tikva
Original prediction
Kafr Qasim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 74.6% | 53.1% | -21.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.29 | 16.9% | 23.8% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 10.48 | 8.5% | 23.1% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Kafr Qasim
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Kafr Qasim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75