Kafr Qasimvs
Ashdod
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kafr Qasim 0-1 Ashdod, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kafr Qasim 0-1 Ashdod
Original prediction
Ashdod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.95 | 18.1% | 16.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.1% | 22.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 58.7% | 60.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Kafr Qasim 0–1 Ashdod
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Ashdod
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kafr QasimLLWWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AshdodDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kafr QasimAshdod
43.3Attack73.3
63.3Defence73.3
43.3Form83.3
50.6Power76.6
0.69xG1.60