KAC Kenitravs
Yacoub El Mansour
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola 2 · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KAC Kenitra 0-1 Yacoub El Mansour
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.9% | 35.4% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.5% | 31.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.5% | 33.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KAC KenitraL
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Yacoub El MansourWLWDL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KAC KenitraYacoub El Mansour
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.11xG0.95