Kabwe Warriorsvs
Mutondo Stars
COMPLETEDZambia · Super League · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kabwe Warriors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kabwe Warriors 3-2 Mutondo Stars
Original prediction
Kabwe Warriors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.6% | 43.4% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 30.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.70 | 19.2% | 26.3% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Kabwe Warriors
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Kabwe Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40