KAA Gent IIvs
Seraing United
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/11/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KAA Gent II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KAA Gent II 3-2 Seraing United
Original prediction
KAA Gent II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.7% | 47.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.9% | 25.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.5% | 27.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
KAA Gent II
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
KAA Gent II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80