KAA Gent IIvs
Dender
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dender · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KAA Gent II 0-1 Dender
Original prediction
Dender
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 25.7% | 28.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.3% | 26.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 49.1% | 45.1% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Dender
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Dender has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KAA Gent IIDWLLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DenderWWWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KAA Gent IIDender
44.4Attack50.0
33.3Defence83.3
44.4Form75.0
42.2Power70.9
1.12xG1.58