KA Akureyrivs
Thor Akureyri
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KA Akureyri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KA Akureyri 3-0 Thor Akureyri
Original prediction
KA Akureyri
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.4% | 60.2% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 18.5% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.1% | 21.3% | -7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
KA Akureyri
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
KA Akureyri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00