KA Akureyrivs
Stjarnan
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
KA Akureyri are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stjarnan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stjarnan hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Stjarnan holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
7.4%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00