GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Keflavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

KA Akureyri are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Keflavik are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Keflavik hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Keflavik holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Keflavik

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Keflavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KA AkureyriWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
KeflavikLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
KA AkureyriKeflavik
44.4Attack51.9
33.3Defence37.0
27.8Form40.7
38.0Power44.4
1.81xG2.00
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