KA Akureyrivs
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KA Akureyri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KA Akureyri 5-1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Original prediction
KA Akureyri
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.9% | 44.9% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.2% | 25.9% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 18.9% | 29.2% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
KA Akureyri
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
KA Akureyri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40