KA Akureyrivs
Breidablik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KA Akureyri 2-1 Breidablik
Original prediction
Breidablik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.3% | 29.9% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 18.6% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.1% | 51.5% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Breidablik
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60